AI Slowdown ne mai karkatarwa. Gidanku yana Wuta.
Bari mu kasance da hankali: masana'antar fasaha a ƙarshe tana samun lokacin "zuwa wurin Yesu" tare da AI, amma yana jin ƙarancin tuba na gaske kuma ya fi kama da dabarun dabarun. Ba zato ba tsammani, ainihin masu zane-zane na wannan tseren AI mai karya wuya - manyan masu bincike da masu kudi waɗanda suka ba da kuɗin kuɗaɗen maganin kafeyin - suna kira da a rage [1]. Suna magana ne game da "mulki na cikin gida," "tsari na ɗabi'a," da kuma "mafi ganganci" taki. Kuma kasuwa, har abada barometer mai mahimmanci, ya riga ya amsa, tare da damuwa game da dorewar saka hannun jari na AI yana haifar da rashin daidaituwa a cikin hannun jari [2].
Wannan ba ƙa'ida ba ce ta waje; "layin kuskure" na ciki ne wanda ke fitowa daga cikin yanayin yanayin AI kanta. Kuma yayin da C-suite ke yin muhawara game da abubuwan falsafa na abubuwan da suka halitta a nan gaba, yanzu yana ƙonewa sosai.
Dakatawar Dacewar
Yi la'akari da lokacin. Shekaru da yawa, mantra ya kasance "motsawa da sauri da karya abubuwa," ko kuma kwanan nan, "matsar da sauri kuma gina AGI." Yanzu, tare da samfura masu ƙarfi da aka riga aka tura, tare da fayyace fa'ida mai fa'ida sosai, kuma tare da kallon ainihin ƙa'ida mai ma'ana da ke zuwa, kiran taka tsantsan ya ɗan fashe. Shin wannan farkawa ta gaske ce ga babban haɗari, ko ƙididdige ƙididdiga don ƙarfafa iko, rage fafatawa a gasa, da sarrafa fahimtar jama'a kafin farar fata ta fito?
Yana da sauƙi a yi wa'azin taka tsantsan lokacin da kun riga kun riga kun ƙaddamar da kasuwa akan ƙididdigewa, hazaka, da ƙirar tushe. Mayar da hankali ga masana'antar ba zato ba tsammani akan "sake kimanta taswirar samfura, kimanta haɗari, da tsare-tsaren dabaru" yana da kyau, amma kuma yana kama da hanya mai dacewa don sake daidaita albarkatun. Wannan na iya yuwuwar rage jinkirin hanyoyin buɗe tushen ko ƙananan ƴan wasa waɗanda za su iya ƙalubalantar ƙwararrun ƙwararrun ƙwararrun ta hanyar sarrafa damar samun mahimman albarkatu ko tasirin tsarin tsari. "Tsarin da'a" yana da mahimmanci kwatsam, ba lokacin da ake horar da samfuran akan bayanan da aka goge ba, amma yanzu da suke da ƙarfi don sake fasalin al'umma da gaske.
An bayyana damuwa a cikin al'ummomin ilimi da na kimiyya, suna gargadin cewa "maganin" AI don buɗe matsalolin na iya yin barazana ga amincin filayen su [3], babbar alama ce ta zurfin wannan damuwa na ciki. Amma kada mu yi kuskuren wannan da altruism. Wannan ba game da tasirin AI akan ayyuka ko ababen more rayuwa ba; game da control - wanda ke amfani da shi, kuma a wace taki. Muhawarar ta ragu game da "mu gina shi?" da ƙari game da "wane ne zai yanke shawarar yadda muke gina shi da sauri, kuma wa ke amfana?"
Yayin da suke Tattaunawa akan Gaba, Gabatarwarku ta Rage
Yanzu, bari mu fara daga abubuwan da ba za a iya gani ba, damuwa game da makomar AI ta ɓacin rai zuwa ga nan take, rikicin da ke faruwa a kan cibiyoyin sadarwar mu * a yanzu *. Yayin da titans na AI ke yin la'akari da ran injinan su, ƙungiyoyin ku na aiki suna ta fafutuka don ɗaukar cikakken bala'in tsaro ta yanar gizo.
Ba muna magana ne game da barazanar ƙa'idar ko yanayin gaba ɗaya ba. Muna magana ne game da rashin ƙarfi na yau da kullun da aka yi amfani da su a cikin software na kamfani na tushe, suna bugun mahimman abubuwan more rayuwa tare da ƙarfin sledge guduma.
- Ivanti Connect Secure and Policy Secure (CVE-2023-46805 & CVE-2024-21887): Wannan ba kawai kwaro ba ne; rauni ne mai tazara. Waɗannan raunin da ke cikin VPN na Ivanti da hanyoyin samun hanyar sadarwa an yi amfani da su sosai, yana barin maharan su ketare tantancewa da aiwatar da umarni masu nisa. CISA ta ba da gargaɗi da yawa, yana nuna haɗarin haɗari ga ƙungiyoyin da ke dogaro da waɗannan tsarin don amintacciyar hanyar shiga nesa [4]. Tsaro na cibiyar sadarwar ku na farko, abu ɗaya da kuke dogara da shi don dakatar da miyagu a ƙofar, ana amfani da shi sosai don baiwa maharan damar zurfafa shiga hanyoyin sadarwar kasuwanci marasa ƙima.
- Cisco IOS XE Yanar Gizo UI (CVE-2023-20198): Matsakaicin tsananin. An yi amfani da shi sosai. Wannan raunin yana ba da dama ga maharan da ba a tantance su ba don ƙirƙirar asusu masu gata da samun cikakken iko akan na'urorin Cisco IOS XE da abin ya shafa. Idan maharin ya mallaki jirgin sarrafa kayan aikin cibiyar sadarwar ku, sun mallaki duk hanyar sadarwar ku. Wasan ya ƙare [5].
CISA ba ta bayar da "gargadi" don jin daɗi; suna kururuwa "wuta" a cikin wani gidan wasan kwaikwayo. Waɗannan ba barazanar ƙa'idar ba ce kawai; ana amfani da su sosai don yin sulhu da ainihin tsaro da tsarin gudanarwa a cikin masana'antun duniya.
Layin Laifi na Gaskiya
Abin baƙin ciki yana da kauri sosai zaka iya yanke shi da wuka maras ban sha'awa. A gefe guda, muna da fitattun AI suna yin muhawara game da abubuwan da suka shafi makomar da har yanzu suke ginawa, suna kira da a sassauta bayan shekaru na hanzarin da ba a tantance ba. A daya hannun kuma, muna da barazanar nan take, na wanzuwar fasahar tushen fasaharmu ta yanzu tana rugujewa a ƙarƙashin nauyin da ba a kula da shi ba, rashin lahani.
Ainihin "layin kuskure" ba kawai a cikin al'ummar AI ba; yana tsakanin hasumiyar hauren giwa na ƙirƙira da ramuka na gaskiyar aiki. Yana tsakanin taƙaitaccen bayani, tattaunawa mai da hankali kan gaba na "tsarin kai" don AI da kuma kai tsaye, takamaiman buƙatu na * ainihin * tsaro da kwanciyar hankali a cikin tsarin da muke dogaro da su a yau.
Kamar yadda CTOs da aikin injiniya ke jagoranta, ba za mu iya samun shagaltuwa da muhawarar falsafa na raguwar AI ba. Duk da yake waɗannan tattaunawa suna da mahimmanci na dogon lokaci, suna da alatu lokacin da gidan ku ke cin wuta sosai. "sake kimanta taswirar hanyoyin samfur" yakamata a fara tare da haɓaka tushen rugujewar ababen more rayuwa da muke da su. "Kimanin haɗarin" yana buƙatar ba da fifiko ga barazanar da aka yi amfani da ita na kai tsaye waɗanda ke yin illa ga ci gaban aiki da amincin bayanai yau.
Abubuwan fifikon masana'antar sun karkata. Muna yin gini cikin sauri, abubuwa masu haske akan tushe wanda ke ruɓe sosai. Kira don rage jinkirin AI na iya zama tattaunawa mai mahimmanci, amma ga waɗanda muke a ƙasa, suna hulɗa da Ivanti da Cisco zero-days, yana jin kamar yin muhawara da launi na labule yayin da rufin ya shiga cikin. Mayar da hankali a halin yanzu. Nan gaba na iya jira har sai ba mu da jini sosai.
Sources
[1] Buɗe Wasika don Dakatar da Gwaje-gwajen Giant AI - https://futureoflife.org/open-letter-pause-ai-development/ [2] Hannun jari na AI suna haɓaka, amma wasu masu saka hannun jari suna cikin fargaba - https://edition.cnn.com/2024/03/07/investing/ai-stocks-nvidia-bubble/index.html [3] Juyin juya halin AI a cikin kimiyya: alƙawura da haɗari - https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-03223-y [4] Masu Barazana Suna Amfani da Ivanti Connect Secure da Ivanti Policy Secure Vulnerabilities - https://www.cisa.gov/news-events/cybersecurity-advisories/aa24-014a [5] Masu Barazana Suna Amfani da Cisco IOS XE Software na Yanar Gizo na UI Rallacewa - https://www.cisa.gov/news-events/cybersecurity-advisories/aa23-287a